Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 347.231068 396.259237 451.592354 519.035076 599.512911 693.085594 811.018998
2024-12-22 270.523101 331.916705 407.900182 510.256927 646.718581 825.582269 1083.230957
2024-12-29 232.366413 298.606510 385.648131 511.043510 691.612349 949.690387 1360.968939
2025-01-05 201.892552 268.601862 360.331559 499.547295 712.699574 1039.749557 1607.664125
2025-01-12 181.413559 248.570460 344.580584 497.077195 743.702292 1147.497287 1907.917858
2025-01-19 159.411583 223.328131 317.448461 472.287516 733.707051 1184.626691 2092.604287
2025-01-26 152.360750 219.002505 320.575852 494.761172 804.460230 1373.988670 2622.128402
2025-02-02 147.805944 217.739336 327.930388 524.739003 893.208600 1616.648064 3350.369257
2025-02-09 138.297963 207.589113 319.592139 526.080347 928.824196 1762.595765 3915.617276
2025-02-16 127.389958 194.101748 304.170150 512.383450 932.407362 1841.431886 4344.394447
2025-02-23 118.349146 182.877847 291.422498 501.844993 940.322540 1931.416589 4841.651306
2025-03-02 113.984768 179.095967 291.176029 514.963421 1000.137662 2157.618235 5847.424598
2025-03-09 107.964788 172.164752 284.972324 516.285506 1036.258500 2340.694713 6839.801935
2025-03-16 100.890386 162.852110 273.592096 505.758947 1043.835467 2453.175078 7663.862407
2025-03-23 96.002488 157.013605 268.085145 506.676081 1078.681131 2651.496784 8954.044314
2025-03-30 90.107480 148.897511 257.489382 495.291472 1081.084988 2756.831578 9939.699170
2025-04-06 85.769160 143.319177 251.311476 492.848368 1105.992697 2939.785548 11435.864818
2025-04-13 79.410791 133.557925 236.103988 468.319694 1068.379272 2911.548943 11868.366878
2025-04-20 78.424221 133.837287 240.984075 490.556817 1162.386903 3358.694934 15330.227903
2025-04-27 78.117536 135.374729 248.545841 520.215015 1284.711408 3963.131153 20647.509707
2025-05-04 75.198158 131.606710 244.692833 521.541950 1323.785557 4268.781310 24418.019306
2025-05-11 71.209208 125.475018 235.337000 507.991758 1314.498492 4375.189345 26806.984745
2025-05-18 67.765024 120.234685 227.528180 497.565525 1313.489869 4519.469495 29816.549371